Nuclear Deal Predictions & Odds· 139 markets
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$489k Vol.
$181k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$489k Vol.$181k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
44%
No Meeting by June 30
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$964k Vol.
$41k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$964k Vol.$41k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$471k Vol.
$44k Liq.
63
Ends in 9 months
$471k Vol.$44k Liq.63Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$233k Vol.
$131k Liq.
🔥$65k today
Ends in 28 days
$233k Vol.🔥$65k today$131k Liq.Ends in 28 days
5%
Yes
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$12k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$12k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$199k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$199k Vol.$77k Liq.Ends in 28 days
6%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$69k Vol.
$75k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$75k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$164k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$164k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
W
What will Trump say during Address to the Nation on April 1?
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🔥$2.3m today
134
Ended
$2.3m Vol.🔥$2.3m today$191k Liq.134Ended
0%
Yes
W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$11k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$43k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
$533k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$533k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
$124k Vol.
$40k Liq.
🔥$110k today
1
Ends in about 2 months
$124k Vol.🔥$110k today$40k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
17%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
R
12%
December 31, 2026
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$51k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes