Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
$91k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$18k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
R
12%
December 31, 2026
U
16%
December 31, 2026
I
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
$146k Vol.
$34k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$146k Vol.$34k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$472k Vol.
$54k Liq.
65
Ends in 9 months
$472k Vol.$54k Liq.65Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$237k Vol.
$87k Liq.
🔥$58k today
Ends in 27 days
$237k Vol.🔥$58k today$87k Liq.Ends in 27 days
5%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$964k Vol.
$22k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$964k Vol.$22k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
W
Will any country leave NATO by...?
$615k Vol.
$110k Liq.
🔥$147k today
22
Ends in 9 months
$615k Vol.🔥$147k today$110k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31, 2026
N
41%
Yes
N
12%
Yes
N
9%
Yes
W
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
$546k Vol.
$257k Liq.
🔥$373k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$546k Vol.🔥$373k today$257k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
9%
December 31
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$31k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$31k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$74k Vol.
$84k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$84k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
30%
December 31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
I
11%
Yes
