Nuclear Weapons Predictions & Odds· 124 markets
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$17k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$17k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$74k Vol.
$85k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$85k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
31%
December 31
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
$199k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$199k Vol.$100k Liq.Ends in 27 days
6%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$164k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$164k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
R
12%
December 31, 2026
U
17%
December 31, 2026
I
11%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$539k Vol.
$20k Liq.
🔥$120k today
173
$539k Vol.🔥$120k today$20k Liq.173
17%
Yes
I
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
$146k Vol.
$33k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$146k Vol.$33k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
M
51%
Yes
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$234k Vol.
$129k Liq.
🔥$56k today
Ends in 27 days
$234k Vol.🔥$56k today$129k Liq.Ends in 27 days
5%
Yes
