Osintdefender Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
W
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
$375k Vol.
$55k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$375k Vol.$55k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
W
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
$14k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days
$14k Vol.$9k Liq.1Ends in 27 days
17%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$102k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
W
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?
$953 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$953 Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 27 days
14%
Yes
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$113k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$113k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
I
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$120k Vol.
$12k Liq.
31
Ends in 27 days
$120k Vol.$12k Liq.31Ends in 27 days
10%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 10 hours
18%
Yes
U
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$160k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$160k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 12 days
99%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$32k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended
$32k Vol.$8k Liq.Ended
3%
Yes
W
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
$64k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$61k Liq.Ends in 9 months
47%
December 31
W
82%
Yes
