Pardon Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
W
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
$533k Vol.
$35k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$533k Vol.$35k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
W
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
$155k Vol.
$109k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$155k Vol.$109k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
65%
Stefan Brodie
W
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
$53k Vol.
$13k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$53k Vol.$13k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$369k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$369k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 months
67%
Hong Wang
M
51%
Yes
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$6k Vol.
$16k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$16k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
C
11%
Yes
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$966 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$966 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Yes
P
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$203k Vol.
$15k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$203k Vol.$15k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$94k Vol.
$108k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$108k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
E
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
19%
Yes
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
51%
December 31
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$11k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
22%
April 30
W
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
87%
50
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
$115k Vol.
$14k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$115k Vol.$14k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
W
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
22
Ended
$10k Vol.$6k Liq.22Ended
22%
Yes
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
160-179
E
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$29k Liq.
666
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$29k Liq.666Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$419k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$419k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM