Payroll Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

31%
100k+

30%
4.4%

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$23k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$23k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
64%
5.0%

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$151 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$151 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

1%
Yes

46%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
40%
April 30

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
87%
Up

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
$5k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 11 months
12%
Yes

42%
↓ 39000

99%
2.6%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
$24k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 9 months
95%
↓ $6,200

24%
Yes

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
$175k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$175k Vol.$18k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
56%
↓ 100

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$4 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$4 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 30 days
37%
25 - 30 minutes

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$12k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$12k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 8 days
37%
160-179

S&P 500 · Indicies
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?
$19k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 months
88%
↓ $6,300
