Pelosi Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

$330k Vol.
$50k Liq.
4
Ends in 2 months

66%

Scott Wiener

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

$17k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?

Politics

Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours

99%

Yes

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

$3k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

69%

Not revealed in 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$4.1m Vol.
$531k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

85%

Democratic Party

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.2m Vol.
$517k Liq.
138
Ends in 7 months

50%

Democrats Sweep

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$210k Vol.
$28k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months

83%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?

$158k Vol.
$11k Liq.
8
Ends in about 7 hours

1%

Yes

CA-50 House Election Winner

CA-50 House Election Winner

$18k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democratic Party

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

Yes

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$57k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

2%

Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

35%

160-179

CA-19 House Election Winner

CA-19 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

94%

Democratic Party

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

$13k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

89%

Janelle Stelson

PA-14 House Election Winner

PA-14 House Election Winner

$246 Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Republican Party

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours

42%

<15 minutes

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$6k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

30%

120-139

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

$7k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

70%

Bob Brooks

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

11%

Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar

Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar

$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in about 7 hours

100%

Nothing