Pelosi Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
$330k Vol.
$50k Liq.
4
Ends in 2 months
$330k Vol.$50k Liq.4Ends in 2 months
66%
Scott Wiener

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$16k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

Politics
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Yes

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$531k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$531k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$517k Liq.
138
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$517k Liq.138Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$28k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$28k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
$158k Vol.
$11k Liq.
8
Ends in about 7 hours
$158k Vol.$11k Liq.8Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes

93%
Democratic Party

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
35%
160-179

94%
Democratic Party

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner
$13k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$13k Vol.$47k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
89%
Janelle Stelson

93%
Republican Party

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$1k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
42%
<15 minutes

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 8 days
30%
120-139

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
$7k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$7k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
70%
Bob Brooks

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar
$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in about 7 hours
$18k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in about 7 hours
100%
Nothing