Politics Predictions & Odds· 1651 markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$943.2m Vol.
$39.0m Liq.
🔥$8.6m today
628
Ends in over 2 years
$943.2m Vol.🔥$8.6m today$39.0m Liq.628Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$496.4m Vol.
$28.2m Liq.
🔥$7.0m today
328
Ends in over 2 years
$496.4m Vol.🔥$7.0m today$28.2m Liq.328Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Presidential Election Winner 2028
$475.4m Vol.
$28.5m Liq.
🔥$5.8m today
803
Ends in over 2 years
$475.4m Vol.🔥$5.8m today$28.5m Liq.803Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance

Netanyahu out by...?
$89.4m Vol.
$4.8m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$89.4m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$4.8m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.5m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.2m today
3
Ends in about 4 hours
$58.5m Vol.🔥$4.2m today$2.5m Liq.3Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes

US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$64.2m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
1,263
$64.2m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$1.3m Liq.1,263
72%
December 31

Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$9.9m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$2.2m today
1
Ends in about 20 hours
$9.9m Vol.🔥$2.2m today$1.9m Liq.1Ends in about 20 hours
62%
220-239

Fed decision in April?
$39.2m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$2.2m today
22
Ends in 29 days
$39.2m Vol.🔥$2.2m today$3.4m Liq.22Ends in 29 days
97%
No change

Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?
$3.6m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
1
Ended
$3.6m Vol.🔥$1.9m today$1.6m Liq.1Ended
0%
90-114

Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.4m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
423
Ends in about 1 month
$18.4m Vol.🔥$1.6m today$4.7m Liq.423Ends in about 1 month
83%
June 30

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$50.4m Vol.
$797k Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
105
Ends in 12 days
$50.4m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$797k Liq.105Ends in 12 days
67%
TISZA

Next French Presidential Election
$24.1m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
350
Ends in about 1 year
$24.1m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$2.6m Liq.350Ends in about 1 year
27%
Édouard Philippe

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$941k today
2
Ends in 4 days
$12.4m Vol.🔥$941k today$1.2m Liq.2Ends in 4 days
20%
240-259

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$9.1m Vol.
$636k Liq.
🔥$908k today
16
Ends in 2 months
$9.1m Vol.🔥$908k today$636k Liq.16Ends in 2 months
80%
Chong Won-oh

Brazil Presidential Election
$33.8m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$796k today
3,680
Ends in 6 months
$33.8m Vol.🔥$796k today$1.8m Liq.3,680Ends in 6 months
42%
Flávio Bolsonaro

Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.6m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$667k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.6m Vol.🔥$667k today$1.8m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
64%
Péter Magyar

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$23.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$686k today
4
Ends in 3 months
$23.0m Vol.🔥$686k today$1.4m Liq.4Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$153k Liq.
🔥$655k today
3
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.🔥$655k today$153k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
29%
5

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.3m Vol.
$361k Liq.
🔥$645k today
211
Ends in 1 day
$9.3m Vol.🔥$645k today$361k Liq.211Ends in 1 day
43%
June 30

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam
$15.7m Vol.
$308k Liq.
🔥$569k today
205
Ended
$15.7m Vol.🔥$569k today$308k Liq.205Ended
95%
Lê Minh Hưng