Public Policy Predictions & Odds· 166 markets

M
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

$213k Vol.
$18k Liq.
62
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

$925k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

24%

Yes

W
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$1.6m Vol.
$10k Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months

21%

Yes

U
US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

$494k Vol.
$27k Liq.
41
Ends in 28 days

7%

Yes

U
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

$237k Vol.
$12k Liq.
10
Ends in 28 days

8%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

19%

April 30

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$538k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$127k today
172

17%

Yes

W
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas?

shelby park · texas

Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas?

$33k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

B
Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?

Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

$426k Vol.
$0 Liq.
25
Ended

No

W
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by...?

Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by...?

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

October 31

W
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?

$501k Vol.
$0 Liq.
47
Ended

Yes

W
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?

Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

W
Will Zelenskyy disparage Trump on Sunday?

Will Zelenskyy disparage Trump on Sunday?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

W
Will Trump disparage Zelenskyy on Sunday?

Will Trump disparage Zelenskyy on Sunday?

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No