Federal Government Predictions & Odds· 2088 markets
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$14k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$24k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$24k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$76k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$23k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
49%
Palantir
Who visited Epstein's Island?
$1.4m Vol.
$270k Liq.
🔥$339k today
128
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$339k today$270k Liq.128Ends in 3 months
18%
Kevin Spacey
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$133k Liq.
🔥$179k today
122
Ends in about 9 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$179k today$133k Liq.122Ends in about 9 hours
30%
April 30
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$243k Vol.
$22k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
$243k Vol.$22k Liq.33Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
$2.5m Vol.
$43k Liq.
43
Ends in 3 months
$2.5m Vol.$43k Liq.43Ends in 3 months
9%
Before 2027
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in almost 3 years
$26k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in almost 3 years
70%
Yes
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
$281k Vol.
$16k Liq.
43
Ends in 9 months
$281k Vol.$16k Liq.43Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
US military draft authorized in 2026?
$75k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
18%
Yes
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
$77k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in about 9 hours
$77k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
$113k Vol.
$13k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$113k Vol.$13k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
$168k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$168k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
$642k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$642k Vol.$58k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Politics · Culture
Will TikTok be banned by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 9 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 9 hours
98%
Yes
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$109k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$109k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
62%
Kristi Noem