Files Predictions & Odds· 353 markets
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
$113k Vol.
$12k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$113k Vol.$12k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
67%
December 31
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 30 days
11%
Yes
Who visited Epstein's Island?
$1.5m Vol.
$278k Liq.
🔥$119k today
121
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.🔥$119k today$278k Liq.121Ends in 3 months
32%
Richard Branson
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$110k Liq.
🔥$102k today
104
Ends in 30 days
$1.6m Vol.🔥$102k today$110k Liq.104Ends in 30 days
20%
Yes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$372k Vol.
$36k Liq.
🔥$55k today
40
Ends in 30 days
$372k Vol.🔥$55k today$36k Liq.40Ends in 30 days
27%
April 30
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$454k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ended
$454k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ended
60%
20-24
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$52k Liq.
1
Ended
$1.6m Vol.$52k Liq.1Ended
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$333k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days
$333k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ends in 3 days
86%
0-10
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$611k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ended
$611k Vol.$36k Liq.Ended
4%
20+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$8k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$8k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 30 days
51%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$26k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ended
$26k Vol.$10k Liq.Ended
48%
30-34
0%
Yes
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$12k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$12k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 30 days
36%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
$970 Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$970 Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 5 days
17%
25-29
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
$281k Vol.
$15k Liq.
43
Ends in 9 months
$281k Vol.$15k Liq.43Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
$76k Vol.
$9k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$9k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$29k Vol.$14k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$24k Liq.
667
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$24k Liq.667Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes