Reconcilliation Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
86%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$353k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$353k Liq.Ends in 9 months
63%
Orbán - Hungary PM
X
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
$75k Vol.
$19k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$19k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
2%
Yes
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$17k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$17k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
71%
60-79
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.4m Vol.
$534k Liq.
150
Ends in 7 months
$4.4m Vol.$534k Liq.150Ends in 7 months
52%
Democrats Sweep
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$7k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$7k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
23%
Leadership Change
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
N
41%
Yes
Á
Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$123 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$123 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
80%
Yes
T
Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?
$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$23k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
S
Science · outer space
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?
$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$4k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Yes
'
>$56m
O
Yes
S
USA Election · Election Night
State wide recount in Presidential Election?
$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$25k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
N
Yes