Recount Predictions & Odds· 266 markets
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$67k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$67k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$58k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$58k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
38%
Lula da Silva <5%
98%
Stratton 6–9%
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 12 days
25%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
USA Election · recount
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?
$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$29k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No
Will there be a recount in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$72k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
No
USA Election · Election Night
State wide recount in Presidential Election?
$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$25k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
All
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?
$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$1.3m Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
All
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election?
$245k Vol.
$0 Liq.
$245k Vol.$0 Liq.
All
Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election?
$194k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$194k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
All
Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election?
$243k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$243k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
All
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?
$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$1.5m Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
All
Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020?
$127k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$127k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
All
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?
$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$1.4m Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)
$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 8 months
$7k Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in 8 months
Talarico 6.0–6.5%
Dems