Recount Predictions & Odds· 266 markets

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
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27%
Keiko Fujimori <5%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$53k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
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40%
Lula da Silva <5%

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$66k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$66k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+

98%
Stratton 6–9%

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
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$30k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
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46%
Other

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$18k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
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68%
Yes

USA Election · recount
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?
$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
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No

Will there be a recount in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
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4
Ended
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No

USA Election · Election Night
State wide recount in Presidential Election?
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No

All
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?
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All
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election?
$245k Vol.
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$245k Vol.$0 Liq.

All
Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election?
$194k Vol.
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All
Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election?
$243k Vol.
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All
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?
$1.5m Vol.
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All
Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020?
$127k Vol.
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All
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?
$1.4m Vol.
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Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)
$7k Vol.
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Ends in 8 months
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Talarico 6.0–6.5%

Dems

