Referenda Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
$27 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$27 Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$237k Vol.
$80k Liq.
5
Ends in 18 days
$237k Vol.$80k Liq.5Ends in 18 days
92%
Yes
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$559k Vol.
$1k Liq.
27
Ended
$559k Vol.$1k Liq.27Ended
31%
Yes
S
22%
December 31
S
Spain snap election called in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
P
Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
$32k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$32k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 9 days
32%
FP
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$99k Vol.
$29k Liq.
57
Ended
$99k Vol.$29k Liq.57Ended
44%
59-60%
T
44%
55-60%
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$52k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$52k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
28%
December 31
H
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$5k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 days
24%
Yes
H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$55.7m Vol.
$894k Liq.
🔥$3.4m today
130
Ends in 9 days
$55.7m Vol.🔥$3.4m today$894k Liq.130Ends in 9 days
70%
TISZA
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$8k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$8k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in 9 days
47%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
W
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
$132k Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$132k Vol.$110k Liq.Ends in 9 days
40%
Other
B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$16k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$16k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in 16 days
80%
PP–DB
L
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
$51k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$51k Vol.$18k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
LPV
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$408 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$408 Liq.Ends in 7 months
81%
Yes
H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$36k Vol.
$89k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$36k Vol.$89k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
28%
54%+