Referenda Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

S
Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

52%

Civilian Service Act

$34 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

14%

Yes

$33 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

93%

Yes

$243k Vol.
$53k Liq.
5
Ends in 16 days
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

31%

Yes

$559k Vol.
$2k Liq.
27
Ended
S
SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

22%

December 31

$244k Vol.
$56k Liq.
4
Ends in 25 days
P
Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

30%

JP

$15k Vol.
$35k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 days
S
Spain snap election called in 2026?

Spain snap election called in 2026?

28%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
P
Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

46%

FP

$32k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

45%

59-60%

$307k Vol.
$30k Liq.
57
Ended
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

28%

December 31

$1.0m Vol.
$38k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

68%

TISZA

$56.8m Vol.
$873k Liq.
🔥$215k today
134
Ends in 7 days
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$59k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
S
Spain snap election called by...?

8%

Yes

$133k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ended
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

36%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$9k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

69%

Other

$168k Vol.
$90k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 days
H
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

27%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
L
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

23%

LPV

$51k Vol.
$29k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

82%

Yes

$214 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

30%

46-50%

$42k Vol.
$57k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
A
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner

96%

BJP

$31k Vol.
$84k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 days