Referenda Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

$32 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

$237k Vol.
$52k Liq.
5
Ends in 18 days

93%

Yes

W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$559k Vol.
$1k Liq.
27
Ended

31%

Yes

S
SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

$243k Vol.
$40k Liq.
4
Ends in 27 days

22%

December 31

P
Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

$15k Vol.
$51k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 days

33%

JP

S
Spain snap election called in 2026?

Spain snap election called in 2026?

$11k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

27%

Yes

P
Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

$32k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

35%

FP

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

44%

59-60%

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

$1.6m Vol.
$19k Liq.
363
Ended

44%

55-60%

I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

$1.0m Vol.
$51k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months

28%

December 31

H
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

24%

Yes

H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

$55.7m Vol.
$906k Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
131
Ends in 9 days

70%

TISZA

R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

3%

Yes

P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$8k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

47%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

S
Spain snap election called by...?

Spain snap election called by...?

$133k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ended

7%

Yes

W
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

$133k Vol.
$106k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

40%

Other

B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$16k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

79%

PP–DB

L
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

$51k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months

40%

LPV

N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

$0 Vol.
$376 Liq.
Ends in 7 months

81%

Yes

H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

$36k Vol.
$68k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days

28%

54%+