Referenda Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
$32 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$32 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$237k Vol.
$52k Liq.
5
Ends in 18 days
$237k Vol.$52k Liq.5Ends in 18 days
93%
Yes
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$559k Vol.
$1k Liq.
27
Ended
$559k Vol.$1k Liq.27Ended
31%
Yes
S
22%
December 31
S
Spain snap election called in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
P
Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
$32k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$32k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 9 days
35%
FP
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$99k Vol.
$28k Liq.
57
Ended
$99k Vol.$28k Liq.57Ended
44%
59-60%
T
44%
55-60%
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$51k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$51k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
28%
December 31
H
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$5k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 days
24%
Yes
H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$55.7m Vol.
$906k Liq.
🔥$3.3m today
131
Ends in 9 days
$55.7m Vol.🔥$3.3m today$906k Liq.131Ends in 9 days
70%
TISZA
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$8k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$8k Vol.$65k Liq.Ends in 9 days
47%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
W
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
$133k Vol.
$106k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$133k Vol.$106k Liq.Ends in 9 days
40%
Other
B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$16k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$16k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in 16 days
79%
PP–DB
L
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
$51k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$51k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
LPV
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$376 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$376 Liq.Ends in 7 months
81%
Yes
H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$36k Vol.
$68k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$36k Vol.$68k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
28%
54%+