Referendum Predictions & Odds· 151 markets
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$28k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$48k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$48k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
$6k Vol.
$280 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$6k Vol.$280 Liq.Ends in 7 months
59%
Yes
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
61%
Yes
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$400 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$400 Liq.Ends in 7 months
15%
Yes
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
78%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$66k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$66k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
$124k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$124k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
45%
Yes
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$240 Vol.
$199 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$240 Vol.$199 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
$21k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$21k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
$18k Vol.
$24k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$18k Vol.$24k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$411 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$411 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$120k Vol.
$20k Liq.
88
Ended
$120k Vol.$20k Liq.88Ended
77%
70–75%
Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal
