Referendum Predictions & Odds· 151 markets

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

$229k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days

84%

Yes

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

$2.8m Vol.
$48k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months

35%

Yes

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

$6k Vol.
$280 Liq.
Ends in 7 months

59%

Yes

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

61%

Yes

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

$293 Vol.
$400 Liq.
Ends in 7 months

15%

Yes

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

78%

Yes

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

$227k Vol.
$66k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

12%

June 30

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

$124k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

45%

Yes

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

$240 Vol.
$199 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

22%

Yes

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$21k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

$18k Vol.
$24k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

$0 Vol.
$411 Liq.
Ends in 7 months

77%

Yes

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election

$120k Vol.
$20k Liq.
88
Ended

77%

70–75%

Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

$223k Vol.
$0 Liq.
97
Ended

Yes

Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass?

Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass?

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

Will Chile vote to change its constitution?

No

California Prop 50 winning margin?

California Prop 50 winning margin?

$536k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

28–29%