Legislation Predictions & Odds· 378 markets
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$25k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
61%
4
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?
$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
58%
0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$285k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.$285k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$414k Vol.
$9k Liq.
25
Ends in about 13 hours
$414k Vol.$9k Liq.25Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
$162k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$162k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$183k Liq.
264
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$183k Liq.264Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$445k Vol.
$17k Liq.
33
Ends in 9 months
$445k Vol.$17k Liq.33Ends in 9 months
51%
Yes
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 20 days
66%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$92k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
US military draft authorized in 2026?
$75k Vol.
$26k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$75k Vol.$26k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$232k Vol.
$51k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$51k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
25%
December 31
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
16%
Yes
Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by...?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
$2.2m Vol.
$20k Liq.
12
Ends in about 13 hours
$2.2m Vol.$20k Liq.12Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
$240k Vol.
$27k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$240k Vol.$27k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
Politics · World
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
$81k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
39%
Yes
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes