Regional Spillover Predictions & Odds· 165 markets
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?
$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$13k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$31k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$353k Liq.
🔥$382k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$10.9m Vol.🔥$382k today$353k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
4%
Saudi Arabia
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$369k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$369k today$181k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
96%
Bahrain
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$460k Vol.
$197k Liq.
🔥$241k today
Ends in about 1 month
$460k Vol.🔥$241k today$197k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
32%
Saudi Arabia
Houthi strike on Israel by...?
$1.1m Vol.
$34k Liq.
🔥$126k today
351
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.1m Vol.🔥$126k today$34k Liq.351Ends in about 14 hours
44%
April 15
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$87k today
98
Ends in 3 months
$1.0m Vol.🔥$87k today$57k Liq.98Ends in 3 months
90%
June 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$328k Vol.
$107k Liq.
🔥$60k today
30
Ends in about 1 month
$328k Vol.🔥$60k today$107k Liq.30Ends in about 1 month
38%
April 30
US/Israel strike Yemen by...?
$394k Vol.
$14k Liq.
🔥$50k today
52
Ends in about 14 hours
$394k Vol.🔥$50k today$14k Liq.52Ends in about 14 hours
17%
Yes
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$130k Vol.
$17k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$130k Vol.$17k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
64%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$161k Vol.
$120k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$161k Vol.$120k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?
$132k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$132k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
34%
April 30
How many different countries will Israel strike in April?
$14k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$14k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
48%
≥4
How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
$325k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$325k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
68%
3
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
$42k Vol.
$23k Liq.
5
Ends in about 14 hours
$42k Vol.$23k Liq.5Ends in about 14 hours
51%
April 30
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?
$17k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
$141k Vol.
$14k Liq.
15
Ends in about 14 hours
$141k Vol.$14k Liq.15Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
$53k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 14 hours
$53k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?
$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$28k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
2%
Yes