Repo Rate Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

$117k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

1%

Yes

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

63%

No Change

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

94%

No Change

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$391k Vol.
$94k Liq.
20
Ends in 29 days

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$135k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

Will SOFR hit __ in March?

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

56%

↑3.72%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?

$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

97%

No Change

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

63%

No Change

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$192k Liq.
🔥$111k today
17
Ends in 9 months

64%

↓ 3.25%

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.8m Vol.
$245k Liq.
🔥$512k today
Ends in 4 months

78%

No change

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

62%

Increase

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

71%

Increase

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Bank of Russia decision in June?

$748 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

66%

Decrease

Bank of Russia decision in April?

Bank of Russia decision in April?

$25k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 24 days

90%

Decrease

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

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Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$65k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

80%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$39.1m Vol.
$3.5m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
22
Ends in 29 days

97%

No change

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.7m Vol.
$736k Liq.
🔥$166k today
13
Ends in 3 months

88%

No change

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

77%

25 bps Increase

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

$215k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

62%

No change