Repo Rate Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
$117k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$117k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
1%
Yes

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?
$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$3k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
63%
No Change

94%
No Change

82%
Pause–Pause–Pause

97%
Pause–Pause–Pause

75%
Pause–Pause–Pause

Will SOFR hit __ in March?
$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$6k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
56%
↑3.72%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?
$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$26k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 7 days
97%
No Change

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$1k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
63%
No Change

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$192k Liq.
🔥$111k today
17
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$111k today$192k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%

Fed Decision in July?
$2.8m Vol.
$245k Liq.
🔥$512k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.8m Vol.🔥$512k today$245k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?
$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$21k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
62%
Increase

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
71%
Increase

66%
Decrease

90%
Decrease

Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$65k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$65k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in 9 months
80%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

Fed decision in April?
$39.1m Vol.
$3.5m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
22
Ends in 29 days
$39.1m Vol.🔥$2.1m today$3.5m Liq.22Ends in 29 days
97%
No change

Fed Decision in June?
$4.7m Vol.
$736k Liq.
🔥$166k today
13
Ends in 3 months
$4.7m Vol.🔥$166k today$736k Liq.13Ends in 3 months
88%
No change

77%
25 bps Increase

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
$215k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$215k Vol.$55k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
62%
No change