Resign Predictions & Odds· 517 markets
Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
2%
Yes
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$404k Vol.
$128k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$404k Vol.$128k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
$1.6m Vol.
$29k Liq.
23
Ends in about 4 hours
$1.6m Vol.$29k Liq.23Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
6%
Yes
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
$2.5m Vol.
$34k Liq.
44
Ends in 3 months
$2.5m Vol.$34k Liq.44Ends in 3 months
9%
Before 2027
Netanyahu out by...?
$89.4m Vol.
$4.8m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
33
Ends in 9 months
$89.4m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$4.8m Liq.33Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$204k Liq.
🔥$73k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$73k today$204k Liq.Ends in 9 months
58%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
29%
December 31, 2026
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$4k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Trump out as President by March 31?
$13.4m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$568k today
Ends in about 4 hours
$13.4m Vol.🔥$568k today$2.3m Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$297k today
206
Ends in 9 months
$78.6m Vol.🔥$297k today$1.1m Liq.206Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy Rodríguez
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.4m Vol.
$382k Liq.
🔥$210k today
1
Ends in 9 months
$5.4m Vol.🔥$210k today$382k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Trump out as President by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$965k Liq.
🔥$171k today
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.🔥$171k today$965k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$209k Liq.
🔥$123k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$123k today$209k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
49%
December 31
62%
December 31
Trump out as President by April 30?
$229k Vol.
$153k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$229k Vol.$153k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
$1.0m Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.0m Vol.$88k Liq.Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$415k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$415k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM