Resignations Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

U
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days

11%

Yes

U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

$107k Vol.
$4k Liq.
55
Ends in 3 months

76%

Yes

N
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?

$199k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ended

0%

Yes

I
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$316k Vol.
$10k Liq.
28
Ended

0%

Yes

M
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$82k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ended

2%

Yes

W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

$2.5m Vol.
$199k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

59%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

$403k Vol.
$90k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

62%

Kristi Noem

W
Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

$15k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

$91.0m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$3.1m today
34
Ends in 9 months

42%

December 31

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m Vol.
$396k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

$76k Vol.
$91k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

16%

Dong Jun

H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?

$74k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ended

0%

Yes

W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

$404k Vol.
$128k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months

7%

Yes

W
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

$1.6m Vol.
$32k Liq.
23
Ended

0%

Yes

W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$542k Vol.
$41k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months

33%

Dan Clancy - Twitch

T
Trump out as President by March 31?

Trump out as President by March 31?

$13.4m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$88k today
1
Ended

0%

Yes

O
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?

OpenAI · resignations

Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

W
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30?

Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

$3.2m Vol.
$6k Liq.
19
Ended

Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador)

A
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31?

university · presidents

All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31?

$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended

No