Resignations Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
U
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 28 days
$7k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 28 days
4%
Yes
U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$108k Vol.
$2k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$2k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
71%
Yes
N
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
$774 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$774 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$409k Vol.
$124k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$409k Vol.$124k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
63%
Kristi Noem
N
Netanyahu out by...?
$112.4m Vol.
$21.1m Liq.
🔥$4.4m today
36
Ends in 9 months
$112.4m Vol.🔥$4.4m today$21.1m Liq.36Ends in 9 months
40%
December 31
W
6%
Yes
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$409k Vol.
$131k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$409k Vol.$131k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$162k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$162k Liq.Ends in 9 months
45%
Pam Bondi
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$94k Vol.
$132k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$132k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$933 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$933 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$394k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$394k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
18%
April 30
T
Trump out as President by April 30?
$400k Vol.
$196k Liq.
🔥$121k today
Ends in 28 days
$400k Vol.🔥$121k today$196k Liq.Ends in 28 days
1%
Yes
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$545k Vol.
$48k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$545k Vol.$48k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
34%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
S
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
$20 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$20 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
E
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$323k Vol.
$31k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$323k Vol.$31k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$911 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$911 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 5 days
37%
140-159
T
Trump out as President by June 30?
$2.0m Vol.
$767k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$2.0m Vol.$767k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
$167k Vol.
$36k Liq.
67
Ends in 9 months
$167k Vol.$36k Liq.67Ends in 9 months
11%
December 31, 2026