Resignations Predictions & Odds· 114 markets
U
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 28 days
$6k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 28 days
4%
Yes
U
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$108k Vol.
$2k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$2k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
71%
Yes
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$160k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$160k Liq.Ends in 9 months
36%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$409k Vol.
$108k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$409k Vol.$108k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
63%
Kristi Noem
W
6%
Yes
N
Netanyahu out by...?
$112.3m Vol.
$20.0m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
36
Ends in 9 months
$112.3m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$20.0m Liq.36Ends in 9 months
40%
December 31
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$412k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$412k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$933 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$933 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$94k Vol.
$100k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$100k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
17%
Dong Jun
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$409k Vol.
$131k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$409k Vol.$131k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
$545k Vol.
$48k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$545k Vol.$48k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
34%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
O
OpenAI · resignations
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?
$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$31k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
No
W
Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador)
A
university · presidents
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31?
$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
$71k Vol.$0 Liq.17Ended
No
W
T
March 31, 2026
T
Trump cabinet member out by...?
$183k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$183k Vol.$0 Liq.19Ends in 9 months
June 30, 2026
