Sam Bankman Fried Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
SBF released from custody in 2026?
$309k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$309k Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
$134k Vol.
$131k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
$134k Vol.$131k Liq.13Ends in 9 months
64%
Stefan Brodie
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$42k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Sports · Games
WTT - Women's Singles: Elizabeta Samara vs Mo Zhang
$0 Vol.
$13 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$0 Vol.$13 Liq.Ends in 8 days
50%
Samara
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs
$0 Vol.
$4 Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$4 Liq.Ended
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
$7k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$7k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
51%
Tricked
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$16k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$16k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Tennis · Sports
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondioli
$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$4k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 7 days
53%
Nerman Fatic
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Players (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
$4k Vol.
$464k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
$4k Vol.$464k Liq.Ends in about 3 hours
100%
Fake do Biru
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group C
$0 Vol.
$550 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$0 Vol.$550 Liq.Ends in 3 days
69%
ShindeN
S&P 500 · Indicies
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?
$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$16k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
88%
↓ $6,300
Tennis · Sports
Miyazaki: Hayato Matsuoka vs Kasidit Samrej
$2k Vol.
$146k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$2k Vol.$146k Liq.Ends in 6 days
57%
Hayato Matsuoka
Sports · Games
WTT - Men's Singles: Anders Lind vs Shunsuke Togami
$0 Vol.
$13 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$0 Vol.$13 Liq.Ends in 9 days
51%
Lind
Tennis · Sports
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Martin Damm vs Brandon Nakashima
$2k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
$2k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 7 days
29%
Martin Damm
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: STATE vs B8 Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$516 Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$3k Vol.$516 Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
Sports · Games
WTT - Women's Singles: Mima Ito vs Elizabeta Samara
$0 Vol.
$14 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$0 Vol.$14 Liq.Ends in 9 days
52%
Ito
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$94k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$94k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup