Musk V Altman Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$19k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$19k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
4%
Yes
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
14%
Yes
Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?
$37k Vol.
$145k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$37k Vol.$145k Liq.Ends in 2 months
13%
1320-1359
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
$135k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$135k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$759k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4.4m Vol.$759k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
11%
1400-1439
16%
Yes
Elon Musk musk # tweets in March 2026?
$3.3m Vol.
$45k Liq.
🔥$110k today
Ends in 2 days
$3.3m Vol.🔥$110k today$45k Liq.Ends in 2 days
46%
1280-1319
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
$90k Vol.
$3k Liq.
13
Ends in about 16 hours
$90k Vol.$3k Liq.13Ends in about 16 hours
99%
Yes
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 3 months
37%
Yes
1%
Yes
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
43%
Yes
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
$3.0m Vol.
$73k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$3.0m Vol.$73k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
1%
Yes
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$58k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$58k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
$11.8m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$142k today
144
Ends in 6 months
$11.8m Vol.🔥$142k today$2.0m Liq.144Ends in 6 months
11%
Yulia Navalnaya
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$433k Liq.
255
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$433k Liq.255Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M