Sam Bankman Fried Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

S
SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$309k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

W
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$155k Vol.
$112k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months

65%

Stefan Brodie

W
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$102k Vol.
$40k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

S
Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

$42k Vol.
$6k Liq.
6
Ended

2%

Yes

W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

$376 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours

91%

Trump

W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

$93k Vol.
$16k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

37%

Yes

C
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs

$8k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

4%

Falcons Force

B
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondioli

Tennis · Sports

Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondioli

$50k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

45%

Nerman Fatic

C
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group C

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group C

$325 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours

68%

ShindeN

W
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

$25k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

76%

↓ $6,300

S
San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayev

Tennis · Sports

San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayev

$0 Vol.
$432 Liq.
Ends in 8 days

83%

James Duckworth

N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

$29k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 days

41%

51–60

C
Counter-Strike: Boring Players vs BMZ (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Boring Players vs BMZ (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

$7 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours

43%

Boring Players

C
Counter-Strike: STATE vs B8 Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: STATE vs B8 Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

$6k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

78%

Johnny Speeds

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$358k Vol.
$89k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

2%

Deutsche Bank

C
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

$3 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours

58%

paiN Academy

L
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

$16 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

17%

Kaufland Hangry Knights