Sec Predictions & Odds· 1708 markets

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

39%

Yes

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

$82k Vol.
$46k Liq.
1

30%

1.75-2.00T

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

$79k Vol.
$51k Liq.
3

26%

70-80B

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?

$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours

0%

Yes

SpaceX files IPO by...?

SpaceX files IPO by...?

$58k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 days

48%

April 3

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

$45k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months

13%

Yes

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

$19k Vol.
$889 Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months

37%

Yes

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

CWBB · NCAA

2026 Women's NCAA Tournament Winner

$184k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

69%

UConn

NCAA Tournament: National Champion Conference

Basketball · Sports

NCAA Tournament: National Champion Conference

$93k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

53%

Big Ten

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

$625k Vol.
$106k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours

99%

Anthropic

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

$51k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

8%

Yes

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$390k Vol.
$11k Liq.
17
Ends in about 7 hours

4%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

$284k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours

0%

Yes

Rainbow Six Siege: Team Secret vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group B

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: Team Secret vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Group B

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

79%

Team Secret

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

$333k Vol.
$120k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months

50%

Anthropic

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

$40k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

95%

Denmark

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

$13k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

80%

Anthropic

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$100k Vol.
$15k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

28%

Yes

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election: Second Place

$93k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ended

95%

Centro Democrático (CD)