Secretary Of Treasury Predictions & Odds· 145 markets
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$23k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$83k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$83k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 27 days
4%
Yes
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$410k Vol.
$20k Liq.
20
Ended
$410k Vol.$20k Liq.20Ended
46%
June 30, 2026
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$11k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
45%
Yes
W
70%
Rafael Grossi
N
Next President of Vietnam
$29.6m Vol.
$527k Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
243
Ended
$29.6m Vol.🔥$1.2m today$527k Liq.243Ended
95%
Tô Lâm
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.7m Vol.
$283k Liq.
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.7m Vol.$283k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
$972k Vol.
$51k Liq.
48
Ends in 3 months
$972k Vol.$51k Liq.48Ends in 3 months
54%
December 31
X
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$146k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$146k Liq.Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$44k Vol.
$75k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$44k Vol.$75k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
22%
Paxton 9%+
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$4k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
W
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$428k Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$428k Vol.$1.5m Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
68%
Eric Swalwell
C
32%
Yes
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$617 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$617 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 27 days
79%
President 50+ times
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$17k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$17k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
P
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$46k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
$46k Vol.$42k Liq.2Ends in about 2 months
72%
Dem-Rep
U
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
$51k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$51k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$12k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes