Ship Predictions & Odds· 147 markets

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

$87k Vol.
$37k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

58%

April 30

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$104k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended

62%

March 30

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$17k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

59%

<2

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$110k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

$65k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ended

98%

<5

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$414 Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

41%

April 9

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

61%

20-24

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

48%

30-34

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$332k Liq.
🔥$134k today
123
Ended

31%

April 30

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$52k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ended

1%

Yes

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$129k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$1.5m Vol.
$81k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

$196k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

23%

Yes

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$11k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

40%

Yes

North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended

4%

Yes

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

51%

April 15

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$515k Vol.
$61k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$53k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

42%

Yes

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

$90k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes