Ship Predictions & Odds· 140 markets
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$108k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$108k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
3%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
<2
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
$81k Vol.
$36k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$81k Vol.$36k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
60%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
4%
March 31
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$40k Liq.
2
Ends in about 12 hours
$64k Vol.$40k Liq.2Ends in about 12 hours
98%
<5
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$386 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$386 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 5
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$426k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ended
$426k Vol.$47k Liq.Ended
54%
20-24
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$13k Liq.Ended
51%
30-34
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$112k Liq.
🔥$172k today
121
Ends in about 12 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$172k today$112k Liq.121Ends in about 12 hours
30%
April 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 12 hours
$50k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in about 12 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$26k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$26k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$117k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$515k Vol.
$69k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$515k Vol.$69k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$9k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 16 days
35%
Yes
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$195k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$22k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
3%
Yes
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 16 days
51%
April 15
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
$462k Vol.
$14k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$462k Vol.$14k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes