Ships Predictions & Odds· 124 markets
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$2.1m Vol.
$208k Liq.
🔥$191k today
Ends in 28 days
$2.1m Vol.🔥$191k today$208k Liq.Ends in 28 days
13%
Yes
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
$28k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$28k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
38%
Yes
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
$38k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$38k Vol.$66k Liq.Ends in 3 days
27%
35-39
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$650k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ended
$650k Vol.$50k Liq.Ended
3%
20+
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$22k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$22k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 28 days
47%
20+
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$378k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$378k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
98%
0-10
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ended
$1.6m Vol.$45k Liq.Ended
99%
0-10
H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$36k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$36k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 28 days
51%
2–3
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$25k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$25k Vol.$67k Liq.Ends in 28 days
43%
0-10
B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$474k Vol.
$72k Liq.
43
Ends in 28 days
$474k Vol.$72k Liq.43Ends in 28 days
21%
April 30
2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$130k Vol.
$21k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
$130k Vol.$21k Liq.10Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
1
0%
Yes
J
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$27k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$27k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 days
45%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
W
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$974k Vol.
$74k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$974k Vol.$74k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
M
52%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$42k Vol.$11k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
25%
April 30
U
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$154k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$154k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 13 days
100%
Yes
U
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.6m Vol.
$108k Liq.
🔥$121k today
131
Ended
$2.6m Vol.🔥$121k today$108k Liq.131Ended
24%
April 30
