Silicon Data Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?
$311k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$311k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
62%
↑ $2.75
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
22%
December 31, 2026
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
8%
Yes
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$102k Vol.
$14k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$102k Vol.$14k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
45%
Yes
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$1k Vol.
$780 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$1k Vol.$780 Liq.Ends in 1 day
45%
↓ 39000
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
32
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.32Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
Dario / Amodei
Monad FDV one day after launch?
$53.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,263
Ends in 3 months
$53.8m Vol.$0 Liq.1,263Ends in 3 months
>$2B
Million Dollar Game · Poker warning
Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4
$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$1k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No