Supreme Leader Predictions & Odds· 118 markets
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$283k Vol.
$24k Liq.
7
Ends in 28 days
$283k Vol.$24k Liq.7Ends in 28 days
8%
June 30
M
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$765k Vol.
$82k Liq.
62
Ends in 28 days
$765k Vol.$82k Liq.62Ends in 28 days
10%
June 30
K
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$18.1m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
1
Ends in 28 days
$18.1m Vol.🔥$2.0m today$1.6m Liq.1Ends in 28 days
3%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$25.0m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$819k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$25.0m Vol.🔥$819k today$1.5m Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.9m Vol.
$339k Liq.
🔥$284k today
19
Ends in 9 months
$12.9m Vol.🔥$284k today$339k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.0m Vol.
$295k Liq.
🔥$211k today
892
Ends in 9 months
$6.0m Vol.🔥$211k today$295k Liq.892Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$822k Vol.
$40k Liq.
🔥$51k today
122
Ends in 28 days
$822k Vol.🔥$51k today$40k Liq.122Ends in 28 days
34%
May 31
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
$22k Vol.
$223k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$22k Vol.$223k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$466k Vol.
$35k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$466k Vol.$35k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
89%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$30k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$44k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$252 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$252 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 28 days
75%
President 50+ times
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$947k Liq.
🔥$78k today
72
Ends in 9 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$78k today$947k Liq.72Ends in 9 months
66%
Mojtaba Khamenei
M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
$2k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
September 30
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$476k Vol.
$58k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$476k Vol.$58k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$120k Vol.
$19k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$120k Vol.$19k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$419k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$419k Liq.Ends in 9 months
64%
Orbán - Hungary PM
K
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
$159k Vol.
$22k Liq.
50
Ends in 9 months
$159k Vol.$22k Liq.50Ends in 9 months
23%
December 31
X
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$73k Liq.Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes