Supreme Leader Predictions & Odds· 201 markets
M
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$771k Vol.
$92k Liq.
62
Ends in 27 days
$771k Vol.$92k Liq.62Ends in 27 days
9%
June 30
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$286k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 27 days
$286k Vol.$23k Liq.7Ends in 27 days
7%
June 30
K
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$18.6m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$536k today
1
Ends in 27 days
$18.6m Vol.🔥$536k today$1.5m Liq.1Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$25.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$436k today
16
Ends in 3 months
$25.4m Vol.🔥$436k today$1.6m Liq.16Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$13.0m Vol.
$455k Liq.
🔥$108k today
24
Ends in 9 months
$13.0m Vol.🔥$108k today$455k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change by...?
$6.1m Vol.
$322k Liq.
🔥$103k today
891
Ends in 9 months
$6.1m Vol.🔥$103k today$322k Liq.891Ends in 9 months
34%
December 31
W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
$73k Vol.
$308k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in about 2 months
$73k Vol.🔥$62k today$308k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
7%
Yes
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$837k Vol.
$40k Liq.
123
Ends in 27 days
$837k Vol.$40k Liq.123Ends in 27 days
31%
May 31
W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$467k Vol.
$38k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$467k Vol.$38k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
86%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$8k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$8k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
23%
Leadership Change
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$104k Vol.
$53k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$104k Vol.$53k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
53%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$512 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$512 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 27 days
79%
President 50+ times
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$866k Liq.
73
Ends in 9 months
$5.9m Vol.$866k Liq.73Ends in 9 months
65%
Mojtaba Khamenei
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$476k Vol.
$87k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$476k Vol.$87k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$121k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$121k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
N
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.5m Vol.
$362k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.5m Vol.$362k Liq.Ends in 9 months
63%
Orbán - Hungary PM
X
Geopolitics · World
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$166k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$166k Liq.Ends in 3 months
2%
Yes
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$897k Vol.
$104k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$897k Vol.$104k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
O
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?
$121k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
$121k Vol.$0 Liq.7Ended
Yes