Supreme Leader Predictions & Odds· 119 markets
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$733k Vol.
$93k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month
$733k Vol.$93k Liq.61Ends in about 1 month
9%
June 30
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$256k Vol.
$61k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
$256k Vol.$61k Liq.7Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$402k Liq.
47
Ends in about 6 hours
$1.1m Vol.$402k Liq.47Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$55k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.3m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
3
Ends in about 6 hours
$58.3m Vol.🔥$4.1m today$2.5m Liq.3Ends in about 6 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$552k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.8m Vol.🔥$552k today$1.5m Liq.3Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$324k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.0m Vol.🔥$324k today$1.4m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$262k Liq.
🔥$170k today
11
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$170k today$262k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$253k Liq.
🔥$128k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$128k today$253k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
49%
December 31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
$24k Vol.
$102 Liq.
43
Ends in about 6 hours
$24k Vol.$102 Liq.43Ends in about 6 hours
46%
Yes
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
$708k Vol.
$50k Liq.
117
Ends in about 1 month
$708k Vol.$50k Liq.117Ends in about 1 month
38%
May 31
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$414k Vol.
$39k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$414k Vol.$39k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
85%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
35%
Leadership Change
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$978k Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$978k Liq.70Ends in 9 months
49%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
$670 Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$670 Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
September 30
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$74k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$74k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?
$115k Vol.
$16k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$16k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$539k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$539k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
$155k Vol.
$38k Liq.
49
Ends in 9 months
$155k Vol.$38k Liq.49Ends in 9 months
27%
December 31