Tanker Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$54k Liq.
🔥$186k today
Ends in about 5 hours

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$331k Vol.
$51k Liq.
🔥$61k today
Ends in 3 days

86%

0-10

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

56%

20-24

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

36%

0-10

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

41%

25-29

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$109k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

2%

Yes

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

31%

Yes

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

51%

April 15

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m Vol.
$66k Liq.
🔥$92k today
102
Ends in about 1 month

25%

Yes

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$609k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

4%

20+

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

50%

20+

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month

42%

April 30

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$433k Vol.
$4k Liq.
28

38%

Yes

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.0m Vol.
$437k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months

44%

>$600M

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$56k Vol.
$8k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months

28%

Yes

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

80%

April 9

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$64k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

99%

March 28

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k Vol.
$16k Liq.
62

13%

Isfahan nuclear facility

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.2m Vol.
$136k Liq.
🔥$195k today
122
Ends in about 5 hours

28%

April 30