Tariffs Predictions & Odds· 419 markets
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$26k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$42k Liq.
28
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.2m Vol.$42k Liq.28Ends in about 9 hours
99%
5–15%
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 9 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 9 hours
98%
Yes
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$10k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$10k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.2m Vol.
$5.3m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
423
Ends in about 1 month
$18.2m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$5.3m Liq.423Ends in about 1 month
84%
June 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$63k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$63k Vol.$14k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
44%
Yes
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
$162k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$162k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$140k Vol.
$149k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$149k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
India
34%
800–900B
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$415k Vol.
$10k Liq.
25
Ends in about 9 hours
$415k Vol.$10k Liq.25Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$21k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$21k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
40%
June 30
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
48%
↓ 19200
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$658 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$658 Liq.Ends in 1 day
46%
↓ 42600
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
$24.5m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in 1 day
$24.5m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$2.6m Liq.Ends in 1 day
1%
↑ 2,400
What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?
$0 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$28 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
↑ $144
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$12.3m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
2
Ends in 4 days
$12.3m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$1.2m Liq.2Ends in 4 days
18%
240-259