Texas Senate Predictions & Odds· 132 markets
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$293k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$293k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$454k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$454k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
$13.1m Vol.
$241k Liq.
🔥$82k today
1
Ends in about 2 months
$13.1m Vol.🔥$82k today$241k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
64%
Ken Paxton
Texas Senate Election Winner
$159k Vol.
$64k Liq.
7
Ends in 7 months
$159k Vol.$64k Liq.7Ends in 7 months
56%
Republican
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$65k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$65k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
0.6–0.9M
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
Nothing Ever Happens: March
$293k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$293k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
71%
Nothing
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
27%
≤47
Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner
$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$3k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
79%
Mayes Middleton
Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner
$64k Vol.
$97k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
$64k Vol.$97k Liq.2Ends in about 2 months
74%
Julia Letlow
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
$6k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
$6k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 6 months
75%
PL
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
$245k Vol.
$20k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$245k Vol.$20k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
75%
PL
86%
Republican Party
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$12k Liq.
28
Ends in about 5 hours
$551k Vol.$12k Liq.28Ends in about 5 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)
$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 8 months
$7k Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in 8 months
Talarico 6.0–6.5%
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.16Ended
No
Dems