Trump Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$260k Liq.
🔥$363k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$363k today$260k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
$282k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$282k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
$158k Vol.
$12k Liq.
8
Ends in about 14 hours
$158k Vol.$12k Liq.8Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
$74k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$74k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$46k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$46k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$403k Vol.
$104k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$104k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
54%
Kristi Noem
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$0 Vol.
$991 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$991 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Trump out as President by March 31?
$13.4m Vol.
$3.5m Liq.
🔥$544k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$13.4m Vol.🔥$544k today$3.5m Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
Trump out as President by April 30?
$190k Vol.
$132k Liq.
🔥$79k today
Ends in about 1 month
$190k Vol.🔥$79k today$132k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Trump out as President by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$642k Liq.
🔥$63k today
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.🔥$63k today$642k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.3m Vol.
$370k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.$370k Liq.Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$18k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
$6k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$957 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$957 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026