Ukraine Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 125 markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ends in about 5 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$475k Liq.
🔥$73k today
5,427
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$73k today$475k Liq.5,427Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$224k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1.1m Vol.$224k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
3%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$92k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.7m Vol.
$324k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.7m Vol.$324k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$16k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$67k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$67k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$11k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$185k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$185k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$18k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
$385k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$385k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
$136k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$136k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$82k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$82k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$384k Vol.
$31k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$384k Vol.$31k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
$83k Vol.
$11k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$83k Vol.$11k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes