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Unemployment Predictions & Odds· 206 markets

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H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·NFP

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

50%

5.0%

$347k Vol.
$17k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
A
April Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

April Unemployment Rate

43%

4.4%

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Economy·Canada

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

16%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Macro Indicators

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

91%

Up

$78 Vol.
$601 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·NFP

March Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

2.6%

$44k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

Economy·unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

2.6%

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in February?

Economy·unemployment

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in February?

Down

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.

Economy·unemployment

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.

5.2%

$436 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?

Economy·South Korea

South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?

Down

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - Brazil

World·unemployment

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - Brazil

≥5.4%

$21 Vol.
$0 Liq.
I
Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in January?

Economy·jobs

Indian Unemployment Rate Up/Down in January?

Up

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
January Unemployment Rate - Mexico

Economy·Macro Indicators

January Unemployment Rate - Mexico

≥2.7%

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
February Unemployment Rate - Canada

Economy·Canada

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

6.7%

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

January 2026 Unemployment Rate - Japan

≥2.7%

$431k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
D
December 2025 Unemployment Rate - Japan

Economy·unemployment

December 2025 Unemployment Rate - Japan

2.4%

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
D
December Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Unemployment

December Unemployment Rate

≤4.1%

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
P
Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?

Economy·powell

Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?

No

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?

Economy·unemployment

Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?

No

$517k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
H
How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 28?

Economy·unemployment

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 28?

210k-220k

$195 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended