US Congress Predictions & Odds· 158 markets
U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
$16k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$16k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes
L
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$38k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$38k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in 28 days
5%
Yes
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$414 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$414 Liq.Ends in 7 months
80%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$25k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$25k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
84%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
R
27%
≤47
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$97k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$97k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
34%
December 31, 2026
H
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$22k Vol.$68k Liq.Ends in 5 months
31%
24–27
2
20%
115-120m
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
H
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$111k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$111k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
57%
7
H
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
$50k Vol.
$31k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$50k Vol.$31k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
49%
40–43
H
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
$31k Vol.$2k Liq.1
40%
7-9
N
34%
Chuck Schumer