US Government Predictions & Odds· 1501 markets
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
36%
December 31, 2026
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$21k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$21k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$233k Vol.
$14k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$233k Vol.$14k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$17k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$17k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
$152k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$152k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$701k Vol.
$84k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$701k Vol.$84k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
34%
7
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
$19k Vol.
$13k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$19k Vol.$13k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$46k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$46k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
$24k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
$56k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.8m Vol.
$325k Liq.
🔥$358k today
158
Ends in 3 months
$7.8m Vol.🔥$358k today$325k Liq.158Ends in 3 months
69%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$413k Vol.
$30k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$413k Vol.$30k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
83%
Yes
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
Trump · Trump Presidency
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
$366k Vol.
$29k Liq.
49
Ends in 9 months
$366k Vol.$29k Liq.49Ends in 9 months
13%
December 31, 2026
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
$512k Vol.
$30k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$512k Vol.$30k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
$102k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
91%
Yes
Weed rescheduled by...?
$279k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$279k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
41%
December 31
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes