Vice President Nomination Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$160k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$160k Liq.Ends in 9 months
43%
Pam Bondi
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
W
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
$177 Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
$177 Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in over 2 years
23%
Yes
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$964.4m Vol.
$37.5m Liq.
🔥$7.0m today
629
Ends in over 2 years
$964.4m Vol.🔥$7.0m today$37.5m Liq.629Ends in over 2 years
25%
Gavin Newsom
W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
$473 Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
$473 Vol.$15k Liq.1Ends in over 2 years
14%
Yes
W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 3 months
95%
Kevin Cramer
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$8k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$8k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
21%
April 30
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$508.1m Vol.
$28.2m Liq.
🔥$4.1m today
332
Ends in over 2 years
$508.1m Vol.🔥$4.1m today$28.2m Liq.332Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
E
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
19%
Yes
V
82%
Elaine Luria
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$43k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
W
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ended
53%
>5%
H
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.1
82%
0
M
50%
Matt Little
I
36%
Kathy Dolter
L
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$37k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$37k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
N
NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner
$5k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
85%
John Cavanaugh
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.3m Vol.
$481k Liq.
146
Ends in 7 months
$4.3m Vol.$481k Liq.146Ends in 7 months
51%
Democrats Sweep
I
90%
Christina Bohannan