Volcanic Eruption Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in 12 months
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in 12 months
12%
Yes
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$667k Vol.
$16k Liq.
10
Ends in 12 months
$667k Vol.$16k Liq.10Ends in 12 months
43%
1
30%
Yes
46%
Yes
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Sports · Japan J2 League
Fukushima United FC vs. Ventforet Kōfu
$0 Vol.
$55 Liq.
Ends in 25 days
$0 Vol.$55 Liq.Ends in 25 days
49%
Fukushima United FC
27%
Yes
24%
Isfahan nuclear facility
43%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$22k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
79%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$635 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$635 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
51%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
60-79
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 8 days
34%
<5
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$23k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
21%
Yes
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 days
88%
<20
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$27k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
96%
<20
Sports · Japan J2 League
Kōchi United SC vs. Tokushima Vortis
$0 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in 26 days
$0 Vol.$12 Liq.Ends in 26 days
52%
Kōchi United SC