World Presidency Predictions & Odds· 288 markets

Will Trump visit China by...?
$18.4m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
423
Ends in about 1 month
$18.4m Vol.🔥$1.6m today$4.7m Liq.423Ends in about 1 month
83%
June 30

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ends in about 5 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$4.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$131k today
Ends in 9 months
$4.9m Vol.🔥$131k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$4.6m Vol.
$197k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.$197k Liq.21Ends in 3 months
85%
No meeting by June 30

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$121k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
20%
December 31

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$14.1m Vol.
$55k Liq.
1,198
Ends in about 5 hours
$14.1m Vol.$55k Liq.1,198Ends in about 5 hours
14%
December 31

20%
June 30

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
$2.3m Vol.
$32k Liq.
123
Ends in 9 months
$2.3m Vol.$32k Liq.123Ends in 9 months
15%
December 31, 2026

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
$1.3m Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$1.3m Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30

US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$287k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$287k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party

20%
December 31, 2026

Sports · Soccer
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
$190k Vol.
$899 Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
$190k Vol.$899 Liq.4Ends in 4 months
14%
Yes

Politics · World
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes

Galway-West By-Election Winner?
$20k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$20k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
38%
Noel Thomas

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
$2.7m Vol.
$153k Liq.
11
Ends in 6 months
$2.7m Vol.$153k Liq.11Ends in 6 months
58%
Flávio Bolsonaro

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
$140k Vol.
$113k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
$140k Vol.$113k Liq.21Ends in 6 months
39%
Ronaldo Caiado

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$59k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$59k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
$2.0m Vol.
$43k Liq.
90
Ends in 9 months
$2.0m Vol.$43k Liq.90Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
