World Presidency Predictions & Odds· 288 markets

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

$18.4m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
423
Ends in about 1 month

83%

June 30

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ends in about 5 hours

0%

Yes

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$4.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$131k today
Ends in 9 months

10%

December 31

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

$4.6m Vol.
$197k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months

85%

No meeting by June 30

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months

20%

December 31

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$14.1m Vol.
$55k Liq.
1,198
Ends in about 5 hours

14%

December 31

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$2.7m Vol.
$18k Liq.
394
Ended

20%

June 30

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$32k Liq.
123
Ends in 9 months

15%

December 31, 2026

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

14%

June 30

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months

10%

December 31, 2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$1.3m Vol.
$287k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

52%

Democratic Party

Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$20k Liq.
49
Ended

20%

December 31, 2026

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Sports · Soccer

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

$190k Vol.
$899 Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months

14%

Yes

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?

Politics · World

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

$20k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year

38%

Noel Thomas

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

$2.7m Vol.
$153k Liq.
11
Ends in 6 months

58%

Flávio Bolsonaro

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

$140k Vol.
$113k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months

39%

Ronaldo Caiado

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

$1.9m Vol.
$37k Liq.
90
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$206k Vol.
$59k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months

40%

Lula da Silva <5%

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

$2.0m Vol.
$43k Liq.
90
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes