World Presidency Predictions & Odds· 288 markets

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

$18.2m Vol.
$5.3m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
423
Ends in about 1 month

83%

June 30

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,363
Ends in about 9 hours

0%

Yes

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$4.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$148k today
Ends in 9 months

10%

December 31

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

$4.6m Vol.
$204k Liq.
🔥$136k today
20
Ends in 3 months

84%

No meeting by June 30

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$1.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

21%

December 31

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$14.1m Vol.
$97k Liq.
1,197
Ends in about 9 hours

14%

December 31

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$2.7m Vol.
$19k Liq.
393
Ended

20%

June 30

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$34k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months

15%

December 31, 2026

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

14%

June 30

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months

10%

December 31, 2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$1.3m Vol.
$302k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

52%

Democratic Party

Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$22k Liq.
48
Ended

17%

December 31, 2026

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Sports · Soccer

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

$190k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months

14%

Yes

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?

Politics · World

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

$20k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year

51%

Noel Thomas

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

$2.7m Vol.
$146k Liq.
11
Ends in 6 months

57%

Flávio Bolsonaro

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

$139k Vol.
$95k Liq.
22
Ends in 6 months

36%

Ronaldo Caiado

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

$1.9m Vol.
$38k Liq.
89
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$206k Vol.
$58k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months

39%

Lula da Silva <5%

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

$2.0m Vol.
$42k Liq.
89
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes