Xai Predictions & Odds· 129 markets
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$119 Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$119 Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
76%
25%+
6%
Yes
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$24k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
45%
None in 2026
55%
April 30
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$12k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$12k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$58k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$58k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$250k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$250k today$1.5m Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$801k Vol.
$99k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$801k Vol.🔥$159k today$99k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
84%
Anthropic
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$351k Liq.
63
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$351k Liq.63Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$113k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.0m Vol.$113k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$544k Vol.
$75k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$544k Vol.$75k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$391k Vol.
$67k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$391k Vol.$67k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
96%
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$388k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$388k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
91%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$622k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$622k Vol.$106k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$526k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$526k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
99%
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$88k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$88k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
66%
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$94k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$94k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$13k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$154k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$154k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic